2025 Q3 Outlooks

Hugo Thompson
BlackRock
We saw choppy waters during the first half of 2025, but in our view the tide is beginning to turn. See below a summary of our portfolio positioning:
• Preparing for a sunny horizon: fundamentally the global economy, and particularly the corporate sector, looks strong. This encourages us to hold an elevated position in global equities and high yield bonds
• Steadying the ship: given elevated policy uncertainty we are focusing on diversifying our equity holdings. We have reduced exposure to traditional US equity, and are focusing on S&P 500 equal weight, UK, Europe and Japan. We also continue to hold gold.
• Mind the debt iceberg: developed market governments are eyeing fiscal expansion, a trend that is particularly pronounced in the US. This encourages us to hold shorter dated bonds, and reduce our dollar exposure. We have also raised our Emerging Market Debt exposure.

Explore the different Outlooks










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